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Joe Biden and the Democrats have led in the polls consistently during the election campaign, holding a point advantage as Donald Trump looks increasingly vulnerable. The former Vice President has led in the majority of key swing states, and now appears to be making a march in a strong Republican region. Texas has been labelled a “toss-up” in the 2020 election, with the state already reaching 95 percent of its turnout from 2016 with four days of voting remaining. The state has been Republican since 1976, meaning a defeat this time round could be disastrous for the US President.
Warning signs have been sounded in Texas since October last year however, as a Texan House Speaker warned of waning support for the Republicans in the suburbs.
A secret audio recording was released, in which Dennis Bonnen, Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives and an influential conservative activist, can be heard expressing concerns.
He said in the recording: “I just think we’ve got to get through 2020, guarantee if we try and hold this majority – which, with all due respect to Trump, who I love by the way – he’s killing us in the urban-suburban districts.”
In the conversation, Mr Bonnen was reported to have said to target certain Republicans ahead of the party’s primary elections, while also using profane language to describe Democrats.
The pressure of President Trump led to warnings of a “suburban revolt” against the Republicans.
Real Clear Politics has President Trump ahead in Texas by little over two points, but a previous survey had the Republicans just one point ahead.
A New York Times/Siena College poll published Monday shows that 47 percent of Texas likely voters prefer Mr Trump, while 43 percent back Mr Biden.
With President Trump seemingly on the back foot, US politics expert Professor Stephen Burman told Express.co.uk that a constitutional crisis could ensue.
Mr Trump has attempted to cast doubt over the validity of the election.
As a result, Prof Burman warns he could challenge state results through the courts.
If a legal row was drawn out, he expressed fears of potential violence.
He told Express.co.uk: “If it happens, you can imagine the chaos.
“If it were to go the other way and Biden was winning, you would see militias on the street not accepting it.
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“Once you say the election is invalid, once you cast doubt, it opens the gates to serious conflict.
“It won’t only be in the courts, it will be in the streets. We have seen right-wing militias on the streets, Black Lives Matter protestors on the streets.
“You can imagine there would be violence, guns, even deaths.”
Mr Trump refused to commit to a peaceful transfer of power last month.
When asked whether he would pass power to the Democrats without resistance, he said: “Well, we’ll have to see what happens. You know that.”
He has also made an effort to cast doubt over the validity of the election, after saying in August that “the fraud and abuse will be an embarrassment to our country”.
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